We're just past the half way mark of one of the most geopolitically and politically volatile years for decades - yet key digital assets are continuing to set new highs.
On the face of it, it's a classic set-up for a significant pullback, maybe exacerbated by simmering inflation and questionable growth, combined with rising skepticism on earnings, amid lofty valuations.
Still, considering Bitcoin's historical asymmetric risk-adjusted return profile, the crypto market outlook's almost certainly going to be more nuanced.
That makes the CF Benchmarks Q3 2025 outlook report an essential guide for what to watch in the current quarter, and how to play it.
Join Head of Research, Gabe Selby, CFA, and Research Analyst Mark Pilipczuk, as they talk through their report: 'Alpha in the Aftermath: Moving Beyond the 60/40', on the latest episode of CFB Talks Digital Assets!
A few of the highlights:
For informed insights on these points and more, from institutional practitioners across all asset classes, listen in now!
The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell any of the underlying instruments cited including but not limited to cryptoassets, financial instruments or any instruments that reference any index provided by CF Benchmarks Ltd. This communication is not intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. Please contact your financial adviser or professional before making an investment decision.
Note: Some of the underlying instruments cited within this material may be restricted to certain customer categories in certain jurisdictions.
The market posted its strongest week of 2026 at +7.1%. However, factor breadth was notably thin. Size was the only non-market factor to finish positive at +1.3%, while growth and value lagged, suggesting the rally was driven by directional flows rather than fundamentals.

Mark Pilipczuk
Head of Research Gabe Selby, CFA is joined by Kraken's Chief Economist Thomas Perfumo, CFA, CF Benchmarks Research Analyst, Mark Pilipczuk, and Senior Product Manager, Cristian Isac.

Ken Odeluga
The Administrator is launching a consultation on proposed changes to the CME CF Bitcoin Volatility Index - Settlement (BVXS) Methodology.

CF Benchmarks
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