Jul 22, 2025
CFB Talks Digital Assets Episode 47: Q3 2025 Outlook Special - 'Alpha in the Aftermath: Moving Beyond the 60/40'
We're just past the half way mark of one of the most geopolitically and politically volatile years for decades - yet key digital assets are continuing to set new highs.
On the face of it, it's a classic set-up for a significant pullback, maybe exacerbated by simmering inflation and questionable growth, combined with rising skepticism on earnings, amid lofty valuations.
Still, considering Bitcoin's historical asymmetric risk-adjusted return profile, the crypto market outlook's almost certainly going to be more nuanced.
That makes the CF Benchmarks Q3 2025 outlook report an essential guide for what to watch in the current quarter, and how to play it.
Join Head of Research, Gabe Selby, CFA, and Research Analyst Mark Pilipczuk, as they talk through their report: 'Alpha in the Aftermath: Moving Beyond the 60/40', on the latest episode of CFB Talks Digital Assets!
A few of the highlights:
- The Fed's 'impossible' balancing act amid tariff uncertainty and the risk of cutting too late - not to mention prospects of a 'Shadow Fed Chair'
- How cracks are showing in lengthening bond auction 'tails', hinting that vigilantes are again waiting in the wings
- Bitcoin's place, alongside real estate, gold, and other assets, with the resumption of dollar debasement on the horizon
- BTC's unique edge amid the SAB121 repeal, which paves the way for mass collateralization
- How multi-asset portfolios are in focus ahead of the SEC's anticipated universal listing procedures for spot crypto ETFs - which will enable institutional allocation in size
- As tokenization switches from science fiction to science fact, with new instruments like Kraken 's xStocks, how the era of smart contract platforms has now truly begun
For informed insights on these points and more, from institutional practitioners across all asset classes, listen in now!
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The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell any of the underlying instruments cited including but not limited to cryptoassets, financial instruments or any instruments that reference any index provided by CF Benchmarks Ltd. This communication is not intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. Please contact your financial adviser or professional before making an investment decision.
Note: Some of the underlying instruments cited within this material may be restricted to certain customer categories in certain jurisdictions.
CF Benchmarks Newsletter Issue 98
As the 2-year anniversary of the first US spot Bitcoin ETFs approaches, a huge wall of filings points to a surprising turn in 2026 • Research Primer: Bitcoin Capital Market Assumptions • Kraken lists LCAP Portfolio Perp
Ken Odeluga
What a Huge Wall of Filings Tells us about the Next Wave of US Crypto ETFs
A massive build-up of crypto ETF filings suggests issuers are pivoting away from the '33 Act framework towards more flexible '40 Act structures. We explain why.
Ken Odeluga
Risk-On Reloaded: Monetary Easing, Catch-up Trades, and the Tokenization Buildout
Crypto markets are entering a transformative phase in 2026, where regulatory clarity and monetary easing outweigh macro uncertainty. We expect a dovish Fed pivot counter to consensus, fostering lower real yields. Meanwhile, the CLARITY Act and broader adoption should drive our secular themes.
Gabriel Selby