Apr 14, 2025
CFB Talks Digital Assets Episode 42: Macro Tension and Crypto Momentum: Inside the Q2 Market Outlook
In this episode, we break down our research team's Market Outlook: Q2 2025 report – “The New Equilibrium: Unraveling Economic Tension & Thematic Tailwinds.”
From stubborn inflation and global growth uncertainty, to proactive regulatory shifts and strengthening structural themes, the quarter ahead is set to be defined by both tension and opportunity.
We explore how digital asset markets are being shaped by overlapping forces: macroeconomic crosscurrents, legislative momentum, and evolving investor preferences.
Key highlights
- The shift in U.S. trade policy and what it means for the path of monetary policy
- Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade and what it means for the network going forward
- Why we expect the value factor to outperform, and what CFB's factor model tells us about last quarter's move
- Bitcoin’s correlation with global M2 and the potential for a liquidity-driven move in Q2
If you’re looking to make sense of an investment landscape at a critical inflection point—this is your guide to the themes that matter.
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The information contained within is for educational and informational purposes ONLY. It is not intended nor should it be considered an invitation or inducement to buy or sell any of the underlying instruments cited including but not limited to cryptoassets, financial instruments or any instruments that reference any index provided by CF Benchmarks Ltd. This communication is not intended to persuade or incite you to buy or sell security or securities noted within. Any commentary provided is the opinion of the author and should not be considered a personalised recommendation. Please contact your financial adviser or professional before making an investment decision.
Note: Some of the underlying instruments cited within this material may be restricted to certain customer categories in certain jurisdictions.
Weekly Index Highlights, January 26, 2026
Digital assets slid in the most recent week, with large caps decisively lower. BTC fell -4.7% with ETH -8.9%. Downside Beta led factor returns, +2.7%, while the Culture Sub-Category at -2.4% was least-bad in the CF DACS universe. USDT funding rose ~100 bps, while BTC's 1-week rate slipped to 1.17%.
CF Benchmarks
CF Benchmarks Newsletter Issue 99
The CLARITY Act car crash • Morgan Stanley's crypto ETF filings • Bitwise has had a busy few weeks • Nasdaq + CME deepen crypto partnership • Another IBIT feeder fund • And much more
Ken Odeluga
Addition of USD Coin-Dollar Settlement Prices to the CF Digital Asset Index Family
The Administrator announces the addition of USD Coin-Dollar Settlement Prices to the CF Digital Asset Index Family - Single Asset Series.
CF Benchmarks